Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.67 – our chance 76% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo U20 to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceBotafogo U20 or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · fair 1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–2 ✗5% · fair 19.54
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo U20 host Bahia U20 in the Copa Do Brasil U20 on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Botafogo U20's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Maricá U20 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Bahia U20's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Atlético Alagoinhas U20 16–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 7.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bahia U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.5 goals: 4.1 for Botafogo U20 and 2.4 for Bahia U20. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 – 76% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botafogo U20 or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botafogo U20 4–2 Bahia U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo U2064%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Bahia U2014%fair 6.95 · @3.40
6.47Expected goals
4.09Botafogo U20 xG
2.38Bahia U20 xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–25%
3–25%
4–14%
3–14%
5–24%
4–34%
From our goals model: Botafogo U20 4.1 – 2.4 Bahia U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo U20 to win✓
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Botafogo U20 or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Botafogo U20 ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo U20 / FT Botafogo U20✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–2✗
5%
19.54
–
Form
Botafogo U20 – last 6
WLLLWW
3 Oct
vs Maricá U20
4–1
W
26 Sep
@ Vasco da Gama U20
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Flamengo U20
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Fluminense U20
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Estrela De Marco U20
4–0
W
4 Sep
vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bahia U20 – last 6
WLWWWW
8 Sep
vs Atlético Alagoinhas U20
16–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fluminense de Feira U20
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Fluminense de Feira U20
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Camaçariense U20
7–0
W
11 Jul
@ Camaçariense U20
6–1
W
4 Jul
vs Jacobina U20
6–2
W
7.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
22 Apr 2026
Botafogo U20 v Bahia U20
1–0
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our pick is Botafogo U20 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
On our numbers Botafogo U20 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bahia U20 14%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
We expect about 6.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our predicted score is Botafogo U20 4–2 Bahia U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.5 goals in total.
When is Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 (Copa Do Brasil U20) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
