Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTernana to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceTernana or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Ternana vs Recanatese preview and prediction
The match
Recanatese travel to Stadio Libero Liberati in the Coppa Italia Serie D on Wednesday 21 October (17:00 WAT) to face Ternana.
Form guide
Ternana's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Robur Siena 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Recanatese's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to L'Aquila 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Ternana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Ternana and 0.8 for Recanatese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Ternana to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ternana 1–0 Recanatese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ternana64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Recanatese14%fair 7.09 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.93Ternana xG
0.79Recanatese xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ternana 1.9 – 0.8 Recanatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Ternana or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Ternana ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Ternana – last 6
WDWDWL
18 Oct
vs Robur Siena
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lucchese
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Montevarchi Calcio
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Scandicci
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Tau Altopascio
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Mezzolara
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Recanatese – last 6
LLLLDW
18 Oct
vs L'Aquila
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Notaresco
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Maceratese
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Montecchio Gallo
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Foligno Calcio
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Recanatese.
Our pick is Ternana to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ternana vs Recanatese?
On our numbers Ternana have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recanatese 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Recanatese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Recanatese?
Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Recanatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ternana vs Recanatese?
Ternana vs Recanatese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
