Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✗62% · @1.45
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.90
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paraguay sees Olimpia take on Sportivo Luqueno on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb.
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Club Guarani 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Olimpia 3–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Across their last 2 meetings Olimpia have won 2, Sportivo Luqueno 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Olimpia and 1.3 for Sportivo Luqueno. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.00
Sportivo Luqueno18%fair 5.65 · @5.75
3.84Expected goals
2.51Olimpia xG
1.33Sportivo Luqueno xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Olimpia 2.5 – 1.3 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sportivo Luqueno 18%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
