Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paraguay sees Fernando De La Mora take on Libertad Asuncion on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Form guide
Fernando De La Mora's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Resistencia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Fernando De La Mora and 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fernando De La Mora 18%, draw 15%, Libertad Asuncion 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Fernando De La Mora 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fernando De La Mora18%fair 5.53 · @9.00
Draw15%fair 6.73 · @7.00
Libertad Asuncion67%fair 1.49 · @1.18
2.55Expected goals
0.73Fernando De La Mora xG
1.82Libertad Asuncion xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fernando De La Mora 0.7 – 1.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
67%
1.49
1.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Fernando De La Mora – last 6
WLWDDL
19 Sep
vs Resistencia
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ SOL DE America
2–3
L
9 Sep
vs Deportivo Capiata
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Independiente F.b.c.
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Tacuary
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Atlético Tembetary
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
DWWLDW
19 Sep
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Rubio NU
4–2
W
2 Sep
@ Nacional Asuncion
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fernando De La Mora and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Fernando De La Mora have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Libertad Asuncion 67%.
How many goals will there be in Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Fernando De La Mora 1–2 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
