Double chanceNapier City Rovers or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II preview and prediction
The match
The National League National sees Napier City Rovers take on Wellington Phoenix II on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT). Napier City Rovers are 6th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Wellington Phoenix II sit 10th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Napier City Rovers's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Birkenhead United 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Wellington Phoenix II's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Birkenhead United 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Napier City Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Napier City Rovers and 1.1 for Wellington Phoenix II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napier City Rovers 71%, draw 18%, Wellington Phoenix II 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Napier City Rovers 2–1 Wellington Phoenix II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napier City Rovers71%fair 1.41 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @5.25
Wellington Phoenix II11%fair 8.79 · @7.50
3.84Expected goals
2.75Napier City Rovers xG
1.09Wellington Phoenix II xG
55%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Napier City Rovers 2.7 – 1.1 Wellington Phoenix II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napier City Rovers to win✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Double chance
Napier City Rovers or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Napier City Rovers ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napier City Rovers / FT Napier City Rovers✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Napier City Rovers – last 6
LWLDLW
18 Oct
@ Birkenhead United
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Cashmere Technical
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Auckland United
1–7
L
27 Sep
vs Miramar
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Cashmere Technical
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Hibiscus Coast
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix II – last 3
LLD
10 Oct
vs Birkenhead United
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Cashmere Technical
0–10
L
26 Sep
vs Auckland United
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napier City Rovers and Wellington Phoenix II.
What is the prediction for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
On our numbers Napier City Rovers have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wellington Phoenix II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Our predicted score is Napier City Rovers 2–1 Wellington Phoenix II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II (National League National) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
