Auckland City vs Auckland United prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Auckland City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Auckland City to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuckland City to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceAuckland City or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Auckland City vs Auckland United preview and prediction
The match
The National League National sees Auckland City take on Auckland United on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Kiwitea Street. Auckland City are 4th with 12 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Auckland United sit 7th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Auckland City's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Miramar 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Auckland United's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Ferrymead Bays 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game.
Auckland City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Auckland City and 1.4 for Auckland United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auckland City 62%, draw 22%, Auckland United 16%.
Safer route: Auckland City or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Auckland City to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auckland City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Auckland City 2–1 Auckland United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auckland City62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Auckland United16%fair 6.10 · @3.50
4.00Expected goals
2.62Auckland City xG
1.38Auckland United xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Auckland City 2.6 – 1.4 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland City to win✓
62%
1.62
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Auckland City or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Auckland City ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland City / FT Auckland City✓
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Form
Auckland City – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Oct
@ Miramar
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Wellington Olympic
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Eastern Suburbs
4–2
W
22 Aug
vs Central Coast
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Rewa
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Vénus
4–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Auckland United – last 5
WDWDL
18 Oct
vs Ferrymead Bays
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Auckland FC 2
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Napier City Rovers
7–1
W
26 Sep
@ Wellington Phoenix II
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Nelson Suburbs
1–2
L
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auckland City and Auckland United.
What is the prediction for Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Our pick is Auckland City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auckland City vs Auckland United?
On our numbers Auckland City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Auckland United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland City vs Auckland United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Our predicted score is Auckland City 2–1 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Auckland City vs Auckland United (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiwitea Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
