Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Wellington Olympic to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWellington Olympic to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceWellington Olympic or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays preview and prediction
The match
Ferrymead Bays travel to Wakefield Park in the National League National on Saturday 3 October (02:00 WAT) to face Wellington Olympic. Wellington Olympic are 2nd with 13 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Ferrymead Bays sit 9th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Wellington Olympic and 0.6 for Ferrymead Bays. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Wellington Olympic or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wellington Olympic to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Wellington Olympic 1–0 Ferrymead Bays. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wellington Olympic67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.40
Ferrymead Bays12%fair 8.19 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.86Wellington Olympic xG
0.64Ferrymead Bays xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Wellington Olympic 1.9 – 0.6 Ferrymead Bays expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wellington Olympic to win✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Wellington Olympic or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Wellington Olympic ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wellington Olympic / FT Wellington Olympic✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.56
–
Form
Wellington Olympic – last 1
W
27 Sep
@ Auckland FC 2
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ferrymead Bays – last 1
D
26 Sep
vs Eastern Suburbs
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Olympic and Ferrymead Bays.
What is the prediction for Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Our pick is Wellington Olympic to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
On our numbers Wellington Olympic have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ferrymead Bays 12%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Our predicted score is Wellington Olympic 1–0 Ferrymead Bays, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Wakefield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
