Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Auckland United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuckland United to win ✗66% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United preview and prediction
The match
Wellington Phoenix II host Auckland United in the National League National on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT). Wellington Phoenix II are 10th with 4 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Auckland United sit 7th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Wellington Phoenix II and 2.4 for Auckland United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wellington Phoenix II 17%, draw 17%, Auckland United 66%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auckland United to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Wellington Phoenix II 1–2 Auckland United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wellington Phoenix II17%fair 5.72 · @4.10
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.50
Auckland United66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
3.55Expected goals
1.15Wellington Phoenix II xG
2.40Auckland United xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix II 1.1 – 2.4 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland United to win✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Auckland United ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland United / FT Auckland United✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Wellington Phoenix II
No recent results on record.
Auckland United – last 1
L
26 Jul
@ Nelson Suburbs
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Phoenix II and Auckland United.
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?
Our pick is Auckland United to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?
On our numbers Wellington Phoenix II have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Auckland United 66%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?
Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix II 1–2 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
