Value bet: Dukagjini to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallkani to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Ballkani vs Dukagjini preview and prediction
The match
Dukagjini travel to face Ballkani in the Superliga on Monday 14 September (15:00 WAT). Ballkani are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Dukagjini sit 6th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ballkani's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Gjilani 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dukagjini's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Malisheva 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Dukagjini 1–0 Ballkani. Across their last 3 meetings Ballkani have won 0, Dukagjini 3, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Ballkani and 1.2 for Dukagjini. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Dukagjini to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Ballkani 1–1 Dukagjini. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballkani41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Dukagjini36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.46Expected goals
1.28Ballkani xG
1.18Dukagjini xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ballkani 1.3 – 1.2 Dukagjini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
On our numbers Ballkani have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dukagjini 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
Our predicted score is Ballkani 1–1 Dukagjini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
Ballkani vs Dukagjini (Superliga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
