Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 3.30 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
3.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJohor Darul Takzim FC to win ✓74% · @1.03
Double chanceJohor Darul Takzim FC or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @3.30
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Penang take on Johor Darul Takzim FC on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Bandaraya Stadium.
Form guide
Penang's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Kelantan Red Warrior FC 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Johor Darul Takzim FC's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Buriram United 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 1.4 for Penang and 3.4 for Johor Darul Takzim FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penang 11%, draw 15%, Johor Darul Takzim FC 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 3.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 3.30, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Penang 1–3 Johor Darul Takzim FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penang11%fair 9.05 · @71.00
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @15.00
Johor Darul Takzim FC74%fair 1.35 · @1.03
4.75Expected goals
1.39Penang xG
3.36Johor Darul Takzim FC xG
58%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
0–35%
2–35%
0–25%
From our goals model: Penang 1.4 – 3.4 Johor Darul Takzim FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Johor Darul Takzim FC to win✓
74%
1.35
1.03
Double chance
Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
3.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Johor Darul Takzim FC ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Johor Darul Takzim FC / FT Johor Darul Takzim FC✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
13.15
–
Form
Penang – last 6
WWDWLL
12 Sep
vs Kelantan Red Warrior FC
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Melaka
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Terengganu
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Melaka
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs DPMM FC Brunei
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Johor Darul Takzim FC – last 6
DWWLWW
15 Sep
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Negeri Sembilan
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Damansara
10–0
W
4 Sep
@ DPMM FC Brunei
0–3
L
1 Sep
@ Damansara
4–1
W
29 Aug
vs Imigresen
7–0
W
4.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penang and Johor Darul Takzim FC.
What is the prediction for Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.30.
Who will win Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
On our numbers Penang have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Johor Darul Takzim FC 74%.
How many goals will there be in Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Our predicted score is Penang 1–3 Johor Darul Takzim FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Bandaraya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
