Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.75
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes de Merida FC to win38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.22
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Portuguesa FC take on Estudiantes de Merida FC on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Portuguesa FC are 4th with 3 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portuguesa FC's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Portuguesa FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Portuguesa FC 2–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Portuguesa FC and 1.2 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa FC 38%, draw 24%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Estudiantes de Merida FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.41Expected goals
1.20Portuguesa FC xG
1.21Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portuguesa FC 1.2 – 1.2 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes de Merida FC to win
38%
2.63
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes de Merida FC / FT Estudiantes de Merida FC
What is the prediction for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Portuguesa FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
