Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Guaira host UCV in the Primera División on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while UCV sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Anzoátegui FC 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
UCV's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Puerto Cabello 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Deportivo La Guaira arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 UCV. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo La Guaira have won 0, UCV 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.8 for UCV. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Guaira 61%, draw 21%, UCV 18%.
Safer route: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo La Guaira to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Guaira61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.30
UCV18%fair 5.52 · @4.60
2.54Expected goals
1.74Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.80UCV xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Our pick is Deportivo La Guaira to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UCV 18%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
