Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Uruguay Montevideo take on Tacuarembo on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Plaza Colonia 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tacuarembo's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Oriental 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Uruguay Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Tacuarembo 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.1 for Tacuarembo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo34%fair 2.92 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.70
Tacuarembo39%fair 2.58 · @2.70
2.02Expected goals
0.97Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.05Tacuarembo xG
54%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.0 – 1.1 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tacuarembo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
