Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Puerto Cabello take on Monagas SC on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Monagas SC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puerto Cabello's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Trujillanos FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Monagas SC's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Monagas SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Puerto Cabello and 1.1 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 46%, draw 22%, Monagas SC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Monagas SC to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Monagas SC32%fair 3.11 · @3.30
2.40Expected goals
1.34Puerto Cabello xG
1.06Monagas SC xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.3 – 1.1 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✗
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Puerto Cabello – last 6
WWDLDD
11 Oct
@ Trujillanos FC
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Portuguesa FC
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
8 Sep
@ UCV
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Monagas SC – last 6
WWLWDW
14 Oct
vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–1
W
7 Oct
@ Mineros de Guyana
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Zamora FC
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rayo Zuliano
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Caracas FC
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Monagas SC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monagas SC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
