Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Tachira FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Tachira FC host UCV in the Primera División on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo. Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st with 15 points from 5 games (top of the table), while UCV sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Tachira FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Deportivo La Guaira 4–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
UCV's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Carabobo FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Deportivo Tachira FC and 0.8 for UCV. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Tachira FC 63%, draw 23%, UCV 13%.
Safer route: Deportivo Tachira FC or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Deportivo Tachira FC to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Tachira FC or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Tachira FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
UCV13%fair 7.44 · @3.80
2.71Expected goals
1.93Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.78UCV xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC✗
What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Our pick is Deportivo Tachira FC or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCV 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
