Value bet: Caracas FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC travel to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV in the Primera División on Thursday 17 September (00:30 WAT) to face Metropolitanos FC. Metropolitanos FC are 3rd with 4 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Caracas FC sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Metropolitanos FC's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Anzoátegui FC 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Caracas FC's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Monagas SC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Caracas FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Metropolitanos FC and 1.1 for Caracas FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metropolitanos FC 43%, draw 23%, Caracas FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Caracas FC to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Caracas FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metropolitanos FC43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Caracas FC34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.24Metropolitanos FC xG
1.06Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.2 – 1.1 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caracas FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
