Wednesday, 11 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Copa Paulista · Brazil
2–2
FT

Primavera SP vs Noroeste prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPrimavera SP to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Primavera SP vs Noroeste preview and prediction

The match

Noroeste travel to face Primavera SP in the Copa Paulista on Saturday 12 September (22:00 WAT).

Form guide

Primavera SP's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat São Caetano 7–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Noroeste's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Comercial 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Primavera SP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Primavera SP 3–3 Noroeste.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Primavera SP and 1.3 for Noroeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Primavera SP40%fair 2.47 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Noroeste35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.44Primavera SP xG
1.33Noroeste xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Primavera SP 1.4 – 1.3 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPrimavera SP to win ✗40%2.472.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.94–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Primavera SP / FT Primavera SP ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.10–

Form

Primavera SP – last 6

WWLWDW
5 Sepvs São Caetano7–0W
29 Aug@ São Caetano5–0W
22 Augvs Paulista1–2L
16 Aug@ Oeste2–1W
8 Augvs Juventus2–2D
2 Aug@ Juventus1–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Noroeste – last 6

WDWDDL
22 Augvs Comercial4–3W
19 Aug@ União São João1–1D
9 Augvs XV de Piracicaba2–1W
1 Aug@ XV de Piracicaba1–1D
25 Julvs União São João2–2D
18 Jul@ Comercial0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Primavera SP v Noroeste3–3
Primavera SP vs Noroeste head-to-head page →

More Copa Paulista predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

On our numbers Primavera SP have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Noroeste 35%.

How many goals will there be in Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Our predicted score is Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Primavera SP vs Noroeste (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.