Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz preview and prediction
The match
Austria Lustenau host Sturm Graz in the Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Planet Pure Stadion.
Form guide
Austria Lustenau's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Rapid Vienna 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Sturm Graz's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Ried 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.5 for Austria Lustenau and 2.8 for Sturm Graz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austria Lustenau 18%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Austria Lustenau 1–2 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austria Lustenau18%fair 5.52 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
Sturm Graz64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
4.25Expected goals
1.48Austria Lustenau xG
2.77Sturm Graz xG
66%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Austria Lustenau 1.5 – 2.8 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.35
–
Form
Austria Lustenau – last 6
LLLLWL
24 Oct
@ Rapid Vienna
1–5
L
17 Oct
vs Lask Linz
0–4
L
11 Oct
@ TSV Hartberg
3–4
L
3 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Austria Vienna
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 6
DWWLWW
25 Oct
vs Ried
2–2
D
22 Oct
vs Marseille
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Grazer AK
6–1
W
15 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Austria Vienna
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Floridsdorfer AC
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
22 Aug 2026
Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau
1–1
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Austria Lustenau have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sturm Graz 64%.
How many goals will there be in Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Austria Lustenau 1–2 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Planet Pure Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
