Value bet: Stjarnan to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStjarnan to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan host Valur Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while Valur Reykjavik sit 2nd on 34 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Thor Akureyri 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat KA Akureyri 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Valur Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 August 2026, finished Valur Reykjavik 2–3 Stjarnan. Across their last 2 meetings Stjarnan have won 1, Valur Reykjavik 1, with 0 draws and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.5 for Stjarnan and 1.6 for Valur Reykjavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Stjarnan to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Valur Reykjavik24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
4.08Expected goals
2.49Stjarnan xG
1.59Valur Reykjavik xG
72%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
1–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.5 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valur Reykjavik 24%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
