Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStjarnan to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan host KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while KA Akureyri sit 5th on 29 points.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to FH hafnarfjordur 2–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
KA Akureyri's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Thor Akureyri 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Stjarnan 3–1 KA Akureyri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Stjarnan and 1.4 for KA Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stjarnan 65%, draw 14%, KA Akureyri 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stjarnan to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @4.33
KA Akureyri21%fair 4.72 · @3.20
3.96Expected goals
2.57Stjarnan xG
1.39KA Akureyri xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.6 – 1.4 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our pick is Stjarnan to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and KA Akureyri 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
