KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
KA Akureyri or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: KA Akureyri to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKA Akureyri to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceKA Akureyri or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees KA Akureyri take on Thor Akureyri on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). KA Akureyri are 5th with 29 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
KA Akureyri's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to FH hafnarfjordur 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Thor Akureyri's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Valur Reykjavik 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 July 2026, finished KA Akureyri 0–0 Thor Akureyri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for KA Akureyri and 1.3 for Thor Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: KA Akureyri 58%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 20%.
Safer route: KA Akureyri or draw (80%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Value angle: KA Akureyri to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was KA Akureyri or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KA Akureyri58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.70
Thor Akureyri20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
3.54Expected goals
2.25KA Akureyri xG
1.29Thor Akureyri xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 2.3 – 1.3 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is KA Akureyri or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thor Akureyri 20%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
