Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Valur Reykjavik to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceValur Reykjavik or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees Valur Reykjavik take on Thor Akureyri on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points.
Form guide
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Keflavik 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Thor Akureyri's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat FH hafnarfjordur 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Thor Akureyri 2–4 Valur Reykjavik. Across their last 2 meetings Valur Reykjavik have won 1, Thor Akureyri 1, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Valur Reykjavik and 1.0 for Thor Akureyri. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.
Safer route: Valur Reykjavik or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valur Reykjavik to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valur Reykjavik68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.33
Thor Akureyri13%fair 7.94 · @4.50
3.55Expected goals
2.50Valur Reykjavik xG
1.05Thor Akureyri xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 2.5 – 1.0 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Valur Reykjavik to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 13%.
How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
