Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✗89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Bohemians vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
The FAI Cup sees Bohemians take on Waterford on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Dalymount Park.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Dundalk 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Waterford's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Waterford 3–1 Bohemians. Across their last 3 meetings Bohemians have won 1, Waterford 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Bohemians and 0.8 for Waterford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Bohemians to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bohemians 2–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Waterford11%fair 8.94 · @5.00
3.00Expected goals
2.19Bohemians xG
0.81Waterford xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bohemians 2.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our pick is Bohemians to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bohemians vs Waterford?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 11%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Waterford?
Bohemians vs Waterford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.