Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Oakleigh Cannons or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Oakleigh Cannons to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOakleigh Cannons to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceOakleigh Cannons or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.48
Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Oakleigh Cannons take on South Melbourne on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Jack Edwards Reserve.
Form guide
Oakleigh Cannons's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Dandenong City 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Melbourne's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Heidelberg United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 July 2026, finished Oakleigh Cannons 1–2 South Melbourne. Across their last 2 meetings Oakleigh Cannons have won 1, South Melbourne 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Oakleigh Cannons and 1.0 for South Melbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oakleigh Cannons 59%, draw 21%, South Melbourne 21%.
Safer route: Oakleigh Cannons or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Oakleigh Cannons to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oakleigh Cannons or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oakleigh Cannons 1–0 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oakleigh Cannons59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
South Melbourne21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
2.88Expected goals
1.88Oakleigh Cannons xG
1.00South Melbourne xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oakleigh Cannons 1.9 – 1.0 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Oakleigh Cannons or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Oakleigh Cannons have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Melbourne 21%.
How many goals will there be in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Oakleigh Cannons 1–0 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Jack Edwards Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Jack Edwards Reserve
