Value bet: Changchun Xidu to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuangdong Mingtu to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Guangdong Mingtu take on Changchun Xidu on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Guangdong Mingtu are 6th with 29 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Changchun Xidu sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guangdong Mingtu's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Shanghai Second 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Changchun Xidu's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Changchun Xidu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 September 2026, finished Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Guangdong Mingtu and 0.8 for Changchun Xidu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Value angle: Changchun Xidu to win at 3.60 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Guangdong Mingtu 1–0 Changchun Xidu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangdong Mingtu44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Changchun Xidu32%fair 3.09 · @3.60
1.89Expected goals
1.05Guangdong Mingtu xG
0.84Changchun Xidu xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guangdong Mingtu 1.1 – 0.8 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?
On our numbers Guangdong Mingtu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changchun Xidu 32%.
How many goals will there be in Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?
Our predicted score is Guangdong Mingtu 1–0 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?
Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.