Value bet: Qingdao Red Lions to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultXiamen Feilu to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions preview and prediction
The match
Xiamen Feilu host Qingdao Red Lions in the League Two on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Haicang Sports Centre Stadium.
Form guide
Xiamen Feilu's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Tai'an Tiankuang 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qingdao Red Lions's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Qingdao Red Lions 1–0 Xiamen Feilu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Xiamen Feilu and 0.9 for Qingdao Red Lions. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Qingdao Red Lions to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xiamen Feilu 1–1 Qingdao Red Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xiamen Feilu47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Qingdao Red Lions30%fair 3.39 · @3.70
2.17Expected goals
1.25Xiamen Feilu xG
0.92Qingdao Red Lions xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Xiamen Feilu 1.3 – 0.9 Qingdao Red Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?
On our numbers Xiamen Feilu have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qingdao Red Lions 30%.
How many goals will there be in Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?
Our predicted score is Xiamen Feilu 1–1 Qingdao Red Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?
Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Haicang Sports Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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