Value bet: Rizhao Yuqi to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRizhao Yuqi to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Hubei Chufeng Heli take on Rizhao Yuqi on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Hubei Football Management Center Training Base Cen. Hubei Chufeng Heli are 7th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Rizhao Yuqi sit 3rd on 40 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hubei Chufeng Heli's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Shanghai Second 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rizhao Yuqi's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Yichun Grand Tiger 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rizhao Yuqi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 1.1 for Rizhao Yuqi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Value angle: Rizhao Yuqi to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–1 Rizhao Yuqi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hubei Chufeng Heli31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Rizhao Yuqi45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
1.85Expected goals
0.79Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
1.06Rizhao Yuqi xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hubei Chufeng Heli 0.8 – 1.1 Rizhao Yuqi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizhao Yuqi to win✗
45%
2.22
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Hubei Chufeng Heli – last 6
DLWLLL
19 Sep
@ Shanghai Second
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Changchun Xidu
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Shenzhen 2028
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Jiangxi Liansheng
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
WWLDWD
18 Sep
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Xi'an Ronghai
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Shanghai Port II
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Dalian Kewei
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hubei Chufeng Heli and Rizhao Yuqi.
What is the prediction for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi?
On our numbers Hubei Chufeng Heli have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rizhao Yuqi 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our predicted score is Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–1 Rizhao Yuqi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Rizhao Yuqi (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Hubei Football Management Center Training Base Cen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.