Value bet: Changchun Xidu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHubei Chufeng Heli to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu preview and prediction
The match
Hubei Chufeng Heli host Changchun Xidu in the League Two on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Xinhua Road Sports Center. Hubei Chufeng Heli are 7th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Changchun Xidu sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hubei Chufeng Heli's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Shenzhen 2028 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Changchun Xidu's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Dalian Kewei 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 1.0 for Changchun Xidu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Changchun Xidu to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–1 Changchun Xidu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hubei Chufeng Heli39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Changchun Xidu36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.11Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
1.05Changchun Xidu xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1.1 – 1.0 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hubei Chufeng Heli to win✗
39%
2.59
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hubei Chufeng Heli / FT Hubei Chufeng Heli✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.81
–
Form
Hubei Chufeng Heli – last 6
WLLLDD
23 Aug
@ Shenzhen 2028
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Jiangxi Liansheng
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Changchun Xidu – last 6
WDLDDL
22 Aug
vs Dalian Kewei
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ BIT
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Shanghai Second
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Shandong Taishan II
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Shanghai Port II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hubei Chufeng Heli and Changchun Xidu.
What is the prediction for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
On our numbers Hubei Chufeng Heli have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Changchun Xidu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Our predicted score is Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–1 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Xinhua Road Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wuhan Three Towns II0
Shangyu Pterosaur0
Guizhou Zhucheng0
Dalian Kewei1
Guangdong Mingtu1
Shanghai Second0
Chengdu Rongcheng II1