VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfL Wolfsburg W to win ✓80% · @1.06
Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.08
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W preview and prediction
The match
VfL Wolfsburg W host Sturm Graz W in the UEFA Europa Cup Women on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at AOK Stadion.
Form guide
VfL Wolfsburg W's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to 1899 Hoffenheim W 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sturm Graz W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat SK Rapid W 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Sturm Graz W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.6 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 1.2 for Sturm Graz W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: VfL Wolfsburg W 80%, draw 12%, Sturm Graz W 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: VfL Wolfsburg W 3–1 Sturm Graz W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Wolfsburg W80%fair 1.25 · @1.06
Draw12%fair 8.16 · @12.00
Sturm Graz W8%fair 12.91 · @23.00
4.82Expected goals
3.60VfL Wolfsburg W xG
1.22Sturm Graz W xG
57%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
4–17%
2–16%
3–06%
4–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: VfL Wolfsburg W 3.6 – 1.2 Sturm Graz W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg W to win✓
80%
1.25
1.06
Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg W or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg W ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg W / FT VfL Wolfsburg W✓
59%
1.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.08
–
Form
VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6
LWWLWW
18 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Stuttgart W
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Werder Bremen W
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Inter Milano W
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen W
2–1
W
26 Aug
vs Inter Milano W
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz W – last 6
WWWWWD
18 Sep
vs SK Rapid W
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kleinmünchen BW Linz W
4–0
W
2 Sep
@ Gintra-Universitetas W
5–3
W
29 Aug
vs Südburgenland W
3–1
W
26 Aug
vs Gintra-Universitetas W
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ First Vienna W
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Wolfsburg W and Sturm Graz W.
What is the prediction for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
On our numbers VfL Wolfsburg W have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Sturm Graz W 8%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
Our predicted score is VfL Wolfsburg W 3–1 Sturm Graz W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W (UEFA Europa Cup Women) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AOK Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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