Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Union La Calera host U. Catolica in the Copa Chile on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Union La Calera's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Deportes Limache 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
U. Catolica's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Palestino 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
U. Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished U. Catolica 1–2 Union La Calera.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Union La Calera and 1.9 for U. Catolica. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 35%, draw 22%, U. Catolica 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Union La Calera to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera35%fair 2.88 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
U. Catolica43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
3.50Expected goals
1.65Union La Calera xG
1.85U. Catolica xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.6 – 1.9 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and U. Catolica 43%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica (Copa Chile) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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