Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampaio Corrêa RJ to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira preview and prediction
The match
Sampaio Corrêa RJ host Madureira in the Copa Rio on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Sampaio Corrêa RJ's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Nova Iguaçu 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Madureira's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Boavista SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sampaio Corrêa RJ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ and 0.8 for Madureira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Madureira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ49%fair 2.02 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Madureira30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.19Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
0.81Madureira xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.2 – 0.8 Madureira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
49%
2.02
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6
WLWDWW
2 Sep
vs Nova Iguaçu
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Nova Iguaçu
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs São Gonçalo EC RJ
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ São Gonçalo EC RJ
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Resende
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Resende
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Madureira – last 6
DLDWDD
2 Sep
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Boavista SC
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Bonsucesso
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ Bonsucesso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Madureira.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Madureira 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Madureira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Rio · Brazil
