Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea W host Austria Wien W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Wheatsheaf Park. Chelsea W are 4th with 7 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Austria Wien W sit 15th on 1 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chelsea W's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Birmingham City W 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Austria Wien W's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Kleinmünchen BW Linz W 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chelsea W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.0 for Chelsea W and 1.2 for Austria Wien W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea W 73%, draw 13%, Austria Wien W 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 3.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 3.30, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelsea W 2–1 Austria Wien W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea W73%fair 1.36 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.53 · @17.00
Austria Wien W13%fair 7.53 · @41.00
4.17Expected goals
2.96Chelsea W xG
1.21Austria Wien W xG
56%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 3.0 – 1.2 Austria Wien W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
73%
1.36
1.03
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
3.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✓
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Form
Chelsea W – last 6
WWDWWW
19 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Manchester United W
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Aston Villa W
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Real Sociedad W
1–0
W
26 Aug
vs Real Sociedad W
5–2
W
26 Apr
@ Everton W
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Austria Wien W – last 6
WWWDLW
19 Sep
vs Kleinmünchen BW Linz W
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Südburgenland W
5–0
W
1 Sep
vs Brann W
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ First Vienna W
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Brann W
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Salzburg W
7–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Austria Wien W.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.30.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Austria Wien W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 2–1 Austria Wien W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W?
Chelsea W vs Austria Wien W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Wheatsheaf Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
