The UEFA Champions League Women sees Chelsea W take on Roma W on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea W are 4th with 7 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Roma W sit 17th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chelsea W's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Crystal Palace W 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roma W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Juventus W 5–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Chelsea W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Chelsea W and 0.6 for Roma W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea W 72%, draw 13%, Roma W 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Chelsea W 1–1 Roma W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea W72%fair 1.39 · @1.11
Draw13%fair 7.49 · @8.50
Roma W15%fair 6.82 · @12.00
2.50Expected goals
1.90Chelsea W xG
0.60Roma W xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.9 – 0.6 Roma W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Form
Chelsea W – last 6
WWWDWW
25 Oct
@ Crystal Palace W
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
6–2
W
4 Oct
@ West Ham W
3–0
W
30 Sep
@ Lyon W
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Arsenal W
1–0
W
23 Sep
vs Austria Wien W
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roma W – last 6
WWWLWD
24 Oct
@ Juventus W
5–2
W
18 Oct
vs AC Milan W
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Lazio W
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Barcelona W
0–6
L
27 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
3–1
W
23 Sep
@ OH Leuven W
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Roma W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Roma W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Roma W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Roma W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Roma W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Roma W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Roma W?
Chelsea W vs Roma W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.