Zwaluwen host Purmersteijn in the KNVB Beker on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Zwaluwen's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat FC Lisse 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Purmersteijn's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat ADO '20 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 7.0 goals: 3.7 for Zwaluwen and 3.3 for Purmersteijn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 74% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zwaluwen 3–3 Purmersteijn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zwaluwen45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Purmersteijn35%fair 2.86 · @2.75
7.00Expected goals
3.67Zwaluwen xG
3.33Purmersteijn xG
74%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–35%
4–34%
3–24%
3–44%
4–24%
2–34%
From our goals model: Zwaluwen 3.7 – 3.3 Purmersteijn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zwaluwen to win✗
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Zwaluwen ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zwaluwen / FT Zwaluwen✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–3✗
4%
23.58
–
Form
Zwaluwen – last 6
WLWWLD
19 Sep
vs FC Lisse
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Groene Ster
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs UDI '19
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Lierop
7–0
W
29 Aug
@ Poortugaal
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs UNA
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Purmersteijn – last 6
WDLWWD
20 Sep
vs ADO '20
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Excelsior '31
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Dovo
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Zwaluw VFC
4–3
W
30 Aug
@ Hoogeveen
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Sportlust '46
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zwaluwen and Purmersteijn.
What is the prediction for Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
On our numbers Zwaluwen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Purmersteijn 35%.
How many goals will there be in Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Our predicted score is Zwaluwen 3–3 Purmersteijn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ijsselmeervogels0
Gemert3
TOGB4
ROHDA Raalte6