KNVB Beker · Netherlands
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden prediction & analysis
SC Genemuiden or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: SC Genemuiden to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Staphorst 1.3 – 2.2 SC Genemuiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SC Genemuiden shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 20% for Staphorst.
Staphorst have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. SC Genemuiden have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. SC Genemuiden come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.3 for Staphorst, 2.2 for SC Genemuiden). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Staphorst have won 0, SC Genemuiden have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is SC Genemuiden or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, SC Genemuiden to win at 1.85 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SC Genemuiden to win ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | SC Genemuiden or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | SC Genemuiden ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SC Genemuiden / FT SC Genemuiden ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.48 | – |
Form
Staphorst – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs ACV | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Harkemase Boys | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs SC Genemuiden | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs UNA | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ ADO '20 | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Excelsior '31 | 2–4 | L |
SC Genemuiden – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ VV Scherpenzeel | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs SVZW | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Staphorst | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs FC Lisse | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Eemdijk | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Hercules | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Sep 2026 | Staphorst v SC Genemuiden | 1–2 |
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Vvsb1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden?
Our pick is SC Genemuiden or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden?
On our numbers Staphorst have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Genemuiden 58%.
How many goals will there be in Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden?
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.