Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
AFC Amsterdam to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Amsterdam to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceAFC Amsterdam or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam preview and prediction
The match
Groene Ster host AFC Amsterdam in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday 22 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Groene Ster's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with EVV 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
AFC Amsterdam's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Koninklijke HFC 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
AFC Amsterdam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Groene Ster and 1.7 for AFC Amsterdam. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Groene Ster 18%, draw 20%, AFC Amsterdam 62%.
Safer route: AFC Amsterdam or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Amsterdam to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Groene Ster 0–1 AFC Amsterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groene Ster18%fair 5.51 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.00
AFC Amsterdam62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
2.50Expected goals
0.77Groene Ster xG
1.73AFC Amsterdam xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Groene Ster 0.8 – 1.7 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Amsterdam to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
AFC Amsterdam or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Amsterdam / FT AFC Amsterdam✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.05
–
Form
Groene Ster – last 6
DWDWDL
19 Sep
@ EVV
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zwaluwen
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ TOGB
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Heerjansdam
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Vvsb
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Excelsior Maassluis
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
WDLWWW
19 Sep
@ Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs HHC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Rijnsburgse Boys
0–3
L
1 Sep
@ Be Quick 1887
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs ROHDA Raalte
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ GVVV Veenendaal
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groene Ster and AFC Amsterdam.
What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our pick is AFC Amsterdam to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
On our numbers Groene Ster have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Amsterdam 62%.
How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our predicted score is Groene Ster 0–1 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.