KNVB Beker · Netherlands
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sportlust '46 1.6 – 1.4 Excelsior Maassluis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sportlust '46 have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Excelsior Maassluis have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Sportlust '46, 1.4 for Excelsior Maassluis). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sportlust '46 to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sportlust '46 / FT Sportlust '46 ✗ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.48 | – |
Form
Sportlust '46 – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Dovo | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Hollandia | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Hoogeveen | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Blauw Geel | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ TEC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Purmersteijn | 1–1 | D |
Excelsior Maassluis – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Roosendaal | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Achilles Veen | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Noordwijk | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ ADO '20 | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ FC Lisse | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Groene Ster | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis.
More KNVB Beker predictions
League hub
ACV2
Hoogeveen1
Eemdijk2
Roosendaal1
EVV3
Halsteren1
Groene Ster1
AFC Amsterdam6
GVVV Veenendaal4
DVS 33 Ermelo0
HHC0
Barendrecht1
Koninklijke HFC1
Dovo1
Rijnvogels0
Vvsb1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
On our numbers Sportlust '46 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Excelsior Maassluis 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.