The Copa Uruguay sees Boston River take on Fenix on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Boston River's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Progreso 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Fenix's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Colón 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Boston River and 1.1 for Fenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boston River 51%, draw 23%, Fenix 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boston River 1–1 Fenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boston River51%fair 1.96 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Fenix26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.65Boston River xG
1.10Fenix xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Boston River 1.7 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boston River to win✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boston River / FT Boston River✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Boston River – last 6
LLWLWD
19 Sep
vs Progreso
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Racing Montevideo
2–3
L
9 Sep
vs Colón
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Liverpool Montevideo
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Cerro
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 6
DWLDDL
19 Sep
vs Colón
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ CA River Plate
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Rentistas
1–2
L
1 Sep
@ Colón
3–3
D
30 Aug
vs Miramar
1–1
D
27 Aug
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Fenix.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Boston River vs Fenix?
On our numbers Boston River have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fenix 26%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Fenix?
Boston River vs Fenix (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
