Juventud vs Racing Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Juventud host Racing Montevideo in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 17 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Juventud's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Danubio 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Montevideo's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Boston River 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Juventud and 1.6 for Racing Montevideo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventud 37%, draw 26%, Racing Montevideo 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
Racing Montevideo38%fair 2.67 · @2.70
3.25Expected goals
1.61Juventud xG
1.64Racing Montevideo xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.6 – 1.6 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✗
38%
2.67
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Form
Juventud – last 6
DDLWWW
13 Sep
vs Danubio
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Club Nacional
2–2
D
2 Sep
@ Central Espanol
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs Oriental
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 6
WLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Boston River
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Central Espanol
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Cerro
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Oriental
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Albion FC
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Danubio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Juventud have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Racing Montevideo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
