Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalPa to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
PKKU vs SalPa preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkönen sees PKKU take on SalPa on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto. PKKU are 7th with 38 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
PKKU's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to OLS 0–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
SalPa's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Rops 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
SalPa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished SalPa 0–1 PKKU. Across their last 2 meetings PKKU have won 2, SalPa 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for PKKU and 2.3 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PKKU 21%, draw 16%, SalPa 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SalPa to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PKKU 1–2 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PKKU21%fair 4.67 · @2.80
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @4.00
SalPa63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
3.58Expected goals
1.26PKKU xG
2.32SalPa xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: PKKU 1.3 – 2.3 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is SalPa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win PKKU vs SalPa?
On our numbers PKKU have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and SalPa 63%.
How many goals will there be in PKKU vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PKKU vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is PKKU 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is PKKU vs SalPa?
PKKU vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
