Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTPV to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia preview and prediction
The match
TPV host KuPS Akatemia in the Ykkönen on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while KuPS Akatemia sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TPV's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to PKKU 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
KuPS Akatemia's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to SalPa 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished TPV 3–1 KuPS Akatemia. Across their last 2 meetings TPV have won 1, KuPS Akatemia 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for TPV and 1.3 for KuPS Akatemia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was TPV to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: TPV 2–1 KuPS Akatemia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
KuPS Akatemia21%fair 4.86 · @3.20
3.59Expected goals
2.29TPV xG
1.30KuPS Akatemia xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: TPV 2.3 – 1.3 KuPS Akatemia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is TPV to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
On our numbers TPV have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KuPS Akatemia 21%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
Our predicted score is TPV 2–1 KuPS Akatemia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia (Ykkönen) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
