Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC jazz to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceFC jazz or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
FC jazz vs KPV-j preview and prediction
The match
KPV-j travel to Porin Stadion in the Ykkönen on Friday 11 September (16:30 WAT) to face FC jazz. FC jazz are 6th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top half), while KPV-j sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC jazz's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Inter Turku II 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
KPV-j's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to JJK 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
FC jazz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 July 2026, finished FC jazz 0–1 KPV-j. Across their last 2 meetings FC jazz have won 1, KPV-j 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for FC jazz and 1.1 for KPV-j. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC jazz 64%, draw 20%, KPV-j 16%.
Safer route: FC jazz or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC jazz to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC jazz 2–1 KPV-j. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC jazz64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.60
KPV-j16%fair 6.35 · @4.80
3.48Expected goals
2.37FC jazz xG
1.11KPV-j xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC jazz 2.4 – 1.1 KPV-j expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC jazz to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC jazz vs KPV-j?
On our numbers FC jazz have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KPV-j 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC jazz vs KPV-j?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC jazz vs KPV-j?
Our predicted score is FC jazz 2–1 KPV-j, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC jazz vs KPV-j?
FC jazz vs KPV-j (Ykkönen) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Porin Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
