Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: HJK Helsinki to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKuPS to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.02
KuPS vs HJK Helsinki preview and prediction
The match
HJK Helsinki travel to Vare Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 13 September (13:00 WAT) to face KuPS. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while HJK Helsinki sit 2nd on 59 points.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Gnistan 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
HJK Helsinki's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Inter Turku 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished HJK Helsinki 0–4 KuPS. Across their last 2 meetings KuPS have won 1, HJK Helsinki 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for KuPS and 1.3 for HJK Helsinki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 44%, draw 21%, HJK Helsinki 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: HJK Helsinki to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
HJK Helsinki35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.80Expected goals
1.49KuPS xG
1.31HJK Helsinki xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.5 – 1.3 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers KuPS have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HJK Helsinki 35%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
KuPS vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.