Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Mariehamn vs Ilves preview and prediction
The match
Mariehamn host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while Ilves sit 2nd on 38 points. A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mariehamn's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to SJK 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ilves's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Turku PS 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mariehamn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Ilves 2–0 Mariehamn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Mariehamn and 1.6 for Ilves. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 35%, draw 20%, Ilves 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Ilves45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
2.94Expected goals
1.35Mariehamn xG
1.59Ilves xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.4 – 1.6 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Ilves?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ilves 45%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
