Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSJK to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceSJK or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
SJK vs Mariehamn preview and prediction
The match
The Veikkausliiga sees SJK take on Mariehamn on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at OmaSP Stadion. SJK are 4th with 27 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points.
Form guide
SJK's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with FF Jaro 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mariehamn's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Turku PS 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mariehamn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Mariehamn 2–0 SJK. Across their last 2 meetings SJK have won 1, Mariehamn 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for SJK and 0.8 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SJK 60%, draw 23%, Mariehamn 17%.
Safer route: SJK or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SJK or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: SJK 1–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SJK60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Mariehamn17%fair 5.88 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.77SJK xG
0.81Mariehamn xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: SJK 1.8 – 0.8 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is SJK or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SJK vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers SJK have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mariehamn 17%.
How many goals will there be in SJK vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SJK vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is SJK 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is SJK vs Mariehamn?
SJK vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at OmaSP Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
