Lahti host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lahden Stadion. Lahti are 1st with 39 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lahti's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat VPS 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mariehamn's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat FF Jaro 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 July 2026, finished Mariehamn 0–2 Lahti. Across their last 4 meetings Lahti have won 2, Mariehamn 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Lahti and 0.7 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lahti 67%, draw 19%, Mariehamn 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lahti 2–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lahti67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.95
Mariehamn14%fair 7.25 · @5.50
2.59Expected goals
1.90Lahti xG
0.70Mariehamn xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.9 – 0.7 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lahti vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Lahti have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mariehamn 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Lahti 2–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs Mariehamn?
Lahti vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
