Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiriangén to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Matagalpa vs Diriangén preview and prediction
The match
Matagalpa host Diriangén in the Primera Division on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Matagalpa are 10th with 10 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Diriangén sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Matagalpa's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat UNAN Managua 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Diriangén's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Managua 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished Diriangén 3–1 Matagalpa. Across their last 3 meetings Matagalpa have won 0, Diriangén 3, with 0 draws and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Matagalpa and 1.7 for Diriangén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Diriangén to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Matagalpa 0–1 Diriangén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matagalpa17%fair 5.72 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Diriangén59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
2.53Expected goals
0.81Matagalpa xG
1.72Diriangén xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Matagalpa 0.8 – 1.7 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Our pick is Diriangén to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
On our numbers Matagalpa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Diriangén 59%.
How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Our predicted score is Matagalpa 0–1 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Matagalpa vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
