United Arab Emirates vs Qatar prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
United Arab Emirates or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: United Arab Emirates to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnited Arab Emirates to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceUnited Arab Emirates or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar preview and prediction
The match
United Arab Emirates host Qatar in the Gulf Cup Of Nations on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at King Abdullah Sports City. United Arab Emirates are 1st with 7 points from 3 games, while Qatar sit 2nd on 7 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qatar's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Yemen 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for United Arab Emirates and 0.7 for Qatar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: United Arab Emirates 62%, draw 25%, Qatar 12%.
Safer route: United Arab Emirates or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: United Arab Emirates to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was United Arab Emirates or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: United Arab Emirates 1–0 Qatar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
United Arab Emirates62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Qatar12%fair 8.14 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.80United Arab Emirates xG
0.70Qatar xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: United Arab Emirates 1.8 – 0.7 Qatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
United Arab Emirates to win✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
United Arab Emirates or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
United Arab Emirates ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT United Arab Emirates / FT United Arab Emirates✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
United Arab Emirates – last 2
WW
27 Sep
@ Bahrain
3–0
W
24 Sep
vs Yemen
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Qatar – last 6
WWLLDD
27 Sep
@ Yemen
1–0
W
24 Sep
vs Bahrain
2–0
W
24 Jun
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–3
L
18 Jun
@ Canada
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs El Salvador
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between United Arab Emirates and Qatar.
What is the prediction for United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
Our pick is United Arab Emirates or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
On our numbers United Arab Emirates have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qatar 12%.
How many goals will there be in United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
Our predicted score is United Arab Emirates 1–0 Qatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
