Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIraq to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceIraq or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.94
Kuwait vs Iraq preview and prediction
The match
Kuwait host Iraq in the Gulf Cup Of Nations on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:55 (WAT) at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium. Kuwait are 4th with 0 points from 3 games, while Iraq sit 3rd on 4 points.
Form guide
Iraq's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Oman 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Kuwait and 1.4 for Iraq. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kuwait 16%, draw 23%, Iraq 61%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kuwait 0–1 Iraq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kuwait16%fair 6.32 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Iraq61%fair 1.64 · @1.50
1.95Expected goals
0.53Kuwait xG
1.42Iraq xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Kuwait 0.5 – 1.4 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iraq to win✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Double chance
Iraq or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iraq / FT Iraq✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.94
–
Form
Kuwait – last 2
LD
23 Sep
@ Saudi Arabia
0–1
L
5 Jun
@ Thailand
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 6
DLLLLD
23 Sep
vs Oman
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Senegal
0–5
L
22 Jun
@ France
0–3
L
16 Jun
vs Norway
1–4
L
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Spain
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kuwait and Iraq.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kuwait vs Iraq?
On our numbers Kuwait have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Iraq 61%.
How many goals will there be in Kuwait vs Iraq?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuwait vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is Kuwait 0–1 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Kuwait vs Iraq?
Kuwait vs Iraq (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:55 (West Africa Time) at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
