Value bet: Bahrain to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQatar to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Qatar vs Bahrain preview and prediction
The match
Bahrain travel to Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium in the Gulf Cup Of Nations on Thursday 24 September (19:00 WAT) to face Qatar. Qatar are 2nd with 7 points from 3 games, while Bahrain sit 4th on 0 points.
Form guide
Qatar's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qatar 41%, draw 24%, Bahrain 35%.
Value angle: Bahrain to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qatar41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Bahrain35%fair 2.85 · @3.40
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qatar to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Form
Qatar – last 5
LLDDL
24 Jun
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–3
L
18 Jun
@ Canada
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs El Salvador
0–0
D
28 May
@ Rep. Of Ireland
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bahrain – last 1
L
5 Jun
@ Georgia
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qatar and Bahrain.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Qatar vs Bahrain?
On our numbers Qatar have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bahrain 35%.
When is Qatar vs Bahrain?
Qatar vs Bahrain (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
